Using Simple Predictive Analysis and Lumira to Predict Super Bowl Score
This isn’t high tech or high expert analysis but something very simple.
I used the information from the regular season only (not the playoff games) from http://www.repole.com/sun4cast/data.html
In SAP BusinessObjects Predictive Analytics I decided to use the R-Single Exponential Smoothing. The tooltip says “Time series forecasting using the single exponential smoothing algorithm from R library”.
In predictive I have the option to select “Trend” or Forecasting. Input variable was scoring. I selected forecasting:
I output it to a CSV file then use Lumira to review the results.
The first game shows the Broncos will will 32 to 31. The second game shows Seattle will win with a 36-32 score. I don’t think anyone can predict an exact game or score, but my “gut” says Seattle will win – how could you lose with such a great drumline: