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Predictions on Enterprise Mobility and HTML5

I have conducted several surveys recently where I asked people to predict the percentage of enterprise mobility applications that will be written in HTML5 by 2014.  Three months ago I asked a group of “big firm” analysts for their prediction and it ranged from 30% to 50% of enterprise mobility apps.  Yesterday I asked a person here at the SAPinsider Mobile2012 event and their prediction was 20%.

Last month I polled a group on Linkedin, SAP Enterprise Mobility, and 20 people responded with their predictions.  Here are the unscientific, but interesting, results:

Question: What percentage of enterprise mobility apps will be developed using HTML4 by 2014?

  • 20% said less than 30% of enterprise mobility apps
  • 15% said 31% to 40% of enterprise mobility apps
  • 10% said 41% to 50% of enterprise mobility apps
  • 15% said 51% to 60% of enterprise mobility apps
  • 40% said more than 61% of enterprise mobility apps

Fifty-five percent predict that more than 50% of enterprise mobility apps will be developed using HTML5 by 2014.  What are your predictions and why?

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  • You will probably be seeing many HTML5 apps in the coming years but if you look at critical apps, where the money is going to be spent I think the budget is still going to be close to 80-90% towards the native apps in 2014.  That is not only due to the extra effort needed for different platforms but also the amount of work spent in really optimizing those apps from a performance and/or security perspectives.  When you have several thousand users, doing business / process critical work on a mobile device, often with a large volume of data (meaning some offline data) then you are not going to go with HTML5 in the short term at least.